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Game 831793

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

Goodyear Ballpark

Mar 11, 8:05 PM UTC

Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Cincinnati Reds Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
MIL
200001000392
Challenges remaining: 0
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
12200001—6101
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:46 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN
MIL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN0MIL2
0
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceCINN/AMIL0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceCINN/AMIL100%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A
100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

LHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 59.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

1 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

1 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot7 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
RISPTwo OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top8 • Milwaukee Brewers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.78% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Two OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Cincinnati Reds secured a 6-3 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers at Goodyear Ballpark, with the postgame ABS review highlighting the critical role of late-game challenges in maintaining game flow. Despite two challenges from Milwaukee in the final innings, neither was overturned, underscoring the consistency of the plate umpire’s calls during key moments. Both challenges, occurring in the bottom of the seventh and eighth innings, were confirmed as correct, affirming the strike and ball calls on Reese McGuire late in a close 5-3 Reds lead.

These challenges came at pivotal moments, with the Brewers trailing and at the plate, attempting to shift momentum. The counts under review—3-3 and 4-1—reflect the tension with two of the game’s most common counts dictating pitch outcomes. The lack of overturns preserved the existing umpire rulings, suggesting a stable strike zone judgment in crucial situations, even as the Brewers pushed for a narrowing margin late in the game.

While pitch location data was available for both challenges, the reliance on inferred coordinates advises caution in drawing strong conclusions about the zone’s precise boundaries. However, the zero overturn rate on plate calls after two reviews further indicates umpire accuracy. With only two total challenges and no successful ones, the game's rhythm remained largely uninterrupted by ABS interventions, allowing the Reds to close out the contest effectively.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM3-3SweeperCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Reese McGuire vs Sam Moll

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 8 • 3-5 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

59

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

81.2 MPH

Location

-0.64 x, 2.28 z

Count Before

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.78% expected value at challenge time.

Debrief quality