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Game 831806

Los Angeles Dodgers at Kansas City Royals

Surprise Stadium

Mar 18, 1:05 AM UTC

Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
Kansas City Royals Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
LAD
02100001610110
Challenges remaining: 2
Kansas City Royals Logo
KC
000210100491
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

KC
LAD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

KC3LAD2
3
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

KC67%LAD100%
67%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

KC33%LAD50%
33%
50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 61.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 64.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 52.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot5 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +37

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 3-2

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded
OVR 45%EV +3.13%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +40

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +2.27%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23
Two OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +0.49%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top7 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Overturned +64

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index+64
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top9 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +40

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 6-4

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded
OVR 45%EV -0.28%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0SliderKCFMBK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jonathan India vs Tanner Scott

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 6 • Tie 3-3 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

56

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

89.6 MPH

Location

-0.69 x, 1.76 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.082 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +2.27% expected value at challenge time.