Top4 • Colorado Rockies
Called Strike
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-1
Count Edge
-17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.89% EV
Game 831808
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
Mar 2, 3:10 PM EST
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Tonight's Review Pattern
2 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 45.0
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 45.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Changeup
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top4 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-1
Count Edge
-17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.89% EV
Bot4 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-1
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.65% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Zach Ehrhard vs Welinton Herrera
Count Transition
2-1 → 1-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 4 • 3-1 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
45
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
90.2 MPH
Location
0.74 x, 1.94 z
Umpire Count
2-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by -2.61% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
63% overturn probability and -1.89% expected value at challenge time.