Game 831814

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs

Sloan Park

Mar 15, 4:05 PM EDT

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

LAD

123456789414100004

CHC

123456789002000105

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAD	4	1	4	1	0	0	0	0	4	14	12	1	Challenges remaining: 1
CHC	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	5	8	8	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC

LAD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CHC1LAD5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CHC100%LAD80%

100%

80%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CHC0%LAD0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 46.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 27.5

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 48.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 31

Overturned +14

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

Top3 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +11

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index+11

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.19%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 10-2

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

OVR 67%EV +0.49%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 10-3

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.13%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 10-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.17%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 14-8

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.14%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Michael Conforto vs Emmet Sheehan

Count Transition

Strikeout → 2-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 2 • 5-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

85.3 MPH

Location

0.06 x, 1.36 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to 2-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.35% expected value at challenge time.