Game 831833
Surprise Stadium
Mar 19, 1:05 AM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 39.5
RHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 42.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Cutter
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-M
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot3 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-3
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.03% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top4 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.33% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Texas Rangers
Medium Pressure • ELI 41
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.36% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top6 • Kansas City Royals
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • 3-8
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.18% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Kansas City Royals
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 3-8
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.54% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Corey Seager vs Carlos Estévez
Count Transition
Walk
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Loaded
Bot 6 • 3-8 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
39
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
90.7 MPH
Location
-0.25 x, 3.61 z
Count Before
Walk
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at Walk.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.54% expected value at challenge time.