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Game 831838

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers

Globe Life Field

Mar 24, 12:05 AM UTC

Kansas City Royals Logo
Texas Rangers Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Kansas City Royals Logo
KC
000000101260
Challenges remaining: 1
Texas Rangers Logo
TEX
00200010—361
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:22 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TEX
KC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TEX2KC3
2
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TEX50%KC67%
50%
67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TEX50%KC33%
50%
33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 48.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +32

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.73% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.73%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Texas Rangers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

+32.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV -1.34%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -5.8 ptsBB +37.9 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
RISPTwo Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.31%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

+1.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.91% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV -0.91%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • Texas Rangers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 63

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV +0.74%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers ended with Kansas City Royals 2, Texas Rangers 3, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 5 total challenges with 3 overturns. Kansas City Royals got the most value from review, finishing 2-for-3 on its challenges.

In Bottom 8, Kansas City Royals challenged for Nick Loftin on a Ball, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 5, Texas Rangers challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 4, challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
K0-2Four-Seam FastballCFMKBCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nick Loftin vs Josh Sborz

Count Transition

0-2 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 8 • 1-3 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

50

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.7 MPH

Location

0.46 x, 1.45 z

Count Before

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.097 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -0.91% expected value at challenge time.

Jake Burger
Ball
Kansas City Royals
Salvador Perez
Called Strike

Overall, the plate umpire had 3 calls overturned out of 5 reviews, with 2 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 5 of 5 challenges, which gives the umpire section enough support for a limited zone read. The report is based on challenge events only, not the full pitch-by-pitch plate appearance context. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.

Debrief quality