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Game 831839

Kansas City Royals at San Diego Padres

Peoria Stadium

Mar 13, 1:10 AM UTC

Kansas City Royals Logo
San Diego Padres Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Kansas City Royals Logo
KC
61002100010120
Challenges remaining: 1
San Diego Padres Logo
SD
000001000151
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:48 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SD
KC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD3KC3
3
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD67%KC67%
67%
67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD0%KC0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

LHP vs LHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 30.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 32.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • San Diego Padres

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13
RISPLess Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top2 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Confirmed -10

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index-10
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +1.65%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot2 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Overturned +24

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.46%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top4 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +24

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top4 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Overturned +33

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot6 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +22

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 10-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +3.13%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Kansas City Royals dominated the San Diego Padres 10-1 in this spring matchup at Peoria Stadium, with a telling story emerging from the challenge system. With six total challenges and four successfully overturned calls, the game highlighted how teams leveraged technology to clarify key moments, ultimately reinforcing the Royals’ control over the contest.

The balance of the challenges was notably even, with both teams seeing two of their three appeals overturned, underscoring that the game presented opportunities for both sides to question umpire judgment. San Diego’s challenges all came during the middle innings and involved Freddy Fermin’s at-bats in the bottom of the fourth, where two strike calls were reversed, effectively extending his plate appearances despite the sizable 7-0 deficit. This, along with another Royals’ overturned strike call in the sixth inning affecting the count, shows how pivotal counts and strike assessments influenced the flow, even as the score was firmly tilting the game toward Kansas City.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-2SliderCFMBCFMBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Josh Rojas vs Adrian Morejon

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Plate Appearance Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 4 • 7-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

24

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

88.8 MPH

Location

-0.48 x, 2.76 z

Count Before

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.015 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.36% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpire’s strike-zone accuracy was well-monitored, with four of six challenges overturned, reflecting a generally responsive review process when called upon. Although pitch-location data was fully available for all challenges, half the calls relied on inferred pitch coordinates, suggesting a cautious interpretation of any detailed zone insights from this game.

While late-and-close challenge situations were absent, the challenges primarily addressed foundational strike and ball calls that, despite the large run difference, showcased teams’ commitment to accuracy and fairness during each at-bat. Overall, the strong Royals win was underscored by the game’s challenge dynamics, where real-time evidence helped maintain a level playing field amid a lopsided score.

Debrief quality