Game 831845

Kansas City Royals at Colorado Rockies

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick

Feb 28, 3:10 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

123456789500312050

COL

123456789020000010

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
KC	5	0	0	3	1	2	0	5	0	16	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1
COL	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

COL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

COL2KC3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

COL0%KC67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

COL0%KC0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 40.5

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 32.5

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 49.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Colorado Rockies

Hunter Goodman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Dairon Blanco walks.

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Confirmed -8

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-8

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top4 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-2

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.40%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Confirmed -11

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 8-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-11

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 11-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Kansas City Royals

John Rave challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: John Rave called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 14-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

RISPLess Than 2 OutsFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Dairon Blanco vs Michael Lorenzen

Count Transition

Walk

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 2 • 5-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

88.6 MPH

Location

0.89 x, 1.96 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Walk.

The review did not create a new state; Walk situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.10% expected value at challenge time.