Game 831856
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
Mar 24, 7:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:22 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 56.0
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 50.5
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Detroit Tigers
Medium Pressure • ELI 57
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.08% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Detroit Tigers
Medium Pressure • ELI 49
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.35% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top5 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
3-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 3-4
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -8.70% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top5 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 57
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 3-4
Count Edge
+0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +8.16% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Detroit Tigers
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 10-6
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.78% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot9 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 11-8
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.43% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies ended with Detroit Tigers 11, Colorado Rockies 8, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 6 total challenges with 3 overturns. Detroit Tigers got the most value from review, finishing 2-for-3 on its challenges.
In Bottom 5, Colorado Rockies challenged for Jimmy Herget on a Called Strike, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 5, Detroit Tigers challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 1, challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Riley Greene vs Tomoyuki Sugano
Count Transition
Strikeout → 3-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 5 • 2-4 • 0 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
49
Pitch
Splitter
Velocity
86.8 MPH
Location
-1.05 x, 2.19 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to 3-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.095 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.35% expected value at challenge time.
Overall, the plate umpire had 3 calls overturned out of 6 reviews, with 3 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 6 of 6 challenges, but 1 relied on inferred coordinates, so zone takeaways should stay measured. 1 challenge locations relied on inferred coordinates, so any zone commentary should be treated as directional rather than exact. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.