Game 831857
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
Mar 24, 1:10 AM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 25, 3:22 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 58.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
2 reviews
ELI 60.5
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot3 • Detroit Tigers
Medium Pressure • ELI 43
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.25% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top4 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
Walk → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 2-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.39% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top6 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 61
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 4-4
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.78% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top9 • Colorado Rockies
High Pressure • ELI 78
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-6
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.63% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Detroit Tigers at Colorado Rockies ended with Detroit Tigers 5, Colorado Rockies 6, and the ABS layer of the game was defined by 4 total challenges with 2 overturns. Colorado Rockies got the most value from review, finishing 2-for-3 on its challenges.
In Bottom 4, Colorado Rockies challenged for Hunter Goodman on a Called Strike, and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 6, Colorado Rockies challenged for on a , and the review overturned the call. In Bottom 9, challenged for on a , and the review confirmed the call.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Kevin McGonigle vs Chase Dollander
Count Transition
1-1 → 0-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 6 • Tie 4-4 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
61
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
99.5 MPH
Location
-0.80 x, 2.10 z
Count Before
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.037 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
53% overturn probability and -2.78% expected value at challenge time.
Overall, the plate umpire had 2 calls overturned out of 4 reviews, with 2 confirmed. Pitch-location evidence was available on 4 of 4 challenges, but 1 relied on inferred coordinates, so zone takeaways should stay measured. 1 challenge locations relied on inferred coordinates, so any zone commentary should be treated as directional rather than exact. This recap used the deterministic fallback template rather than a model-written narrative, so it stays compact and evidence-based.