Game 831866

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds

Goodyear Ballpark

Mar 18, 8:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
COL	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	1	8	10	1	Challenges remaining: 2
CIN	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	6	10	2	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN

COL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN2COL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN50%COL100%

50%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN50%COL0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 36.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 53.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot5 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 1-4

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +1.84%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +38

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-4

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index+38

Two Outs

OVR 53%EV +2.66%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-6

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV -1.01%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 69

Confirmed -24

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 7-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index-24

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 45%EV +0.74%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Tommy Hopfe vs Taylor Floyd

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Top 9 • 7-6 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

77.2 MPH

Location

-1.09 x, 1.86 z

Count Before

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 3-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

45% overturn probability and +0.74% expected value at challenge time.