Game 831868
Surprise Stadium
Mar 21, 7:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs SHB
LHP vs RHB
50%
4 reviews
ELI 44.5
RHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 45.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.87% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.20% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top3 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.87% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 28
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.01% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot5 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.82% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-1
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.78% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Ryan Ritter vs Cole Ragans
Count Transition
1-0
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Loaded
Top 3 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
50
Pitch
Knuckle Curve
Velocity
78.9 MPH
Location
-0.81 x, 2.56 z
Count Before
1-0
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 1-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -1.87% expected value at challenge time.