Game 831872
Salt River Fields at Talking Stick
Feb 21, 8:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:25 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
8 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs LHB
50%
4 reviews
ELI 37.5
RHP vs RHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 30.0
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 33.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 75% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 24
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.48% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top3 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 7-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.27% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top4 • Arizona Diamondbacks
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 9-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.39% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.36% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot4 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-1
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.16% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.54% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top7 • Colorado Rockies
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
1-1 → 2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-2
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.01% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 49
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 11-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.73% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831872: Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks. Total challenges: 8. Overturned: 5. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
James McCann vs Valente Bellozo
Count Transition
1-0 → 0-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 2 • 5-0 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
24
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
90.2 MPH
Location
-0.71 x, 2.81 z
Count Before
1-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.063 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
53% overturn probability and -0.48% expected value at challenge time.