Game 831874

Cleveland Guardians at Texas Rangers

Surprise Stadium

Mar 2, 3:05 PM EST

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

CLE

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TEX

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CLE	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1
TEX	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	—	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TEX

CLE

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TEX1CLE5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TEX0%CLE80%

80%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TEX0%CLE40%

40%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 53.8

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 42.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.84%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Bot4 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +2.48%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Texas Rangers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.77%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-2

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV -0.28%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.32%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

CJ Kayfus vs Peyton Gray

Count Transition

2-2 → 3-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

81.7 MPH

Location

-0.38 x, 3.46 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to 3-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.28% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.84% expected value at challenge time.