Game 831878
American Family Fields of Phoenix
Feb 21, 8:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:25 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
60%
5 reviews
ELI 41.8
LHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 45.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
4 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Cleveland Guardians
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.18% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top4 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
2nd and 3rd • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.36% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top6 • Cleveland Guardians
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
0-2 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-4
Count Edge
+1.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.12% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot6 • Cleveland Guardians
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
3-1 → 2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-4
Count Edge
-27.7 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.37% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • Cleveland Guardians
Medium Pressure • ELI 49
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.49% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Cleveland Guardians
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-4
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • +0.10% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Top9 • Cleveland Guardians
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-6
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.81% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831878: Cleveland Guardians at Milwaukee Brewers. Total challenges: 7. Overturned: 4. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Nolan Jones vs Jaron DeBerry
Count Transition
1-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
2nd and 3rd
Top 4 • 1-2 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
53
Pitch
Slider
Velocity
82.4 MPH
Location
-0.06 x, 1.51 z
Count Before
1-2
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 1-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
45% overturn probability and +0.36% expected value at challenge time.