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Game 831883

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds

Goodyear Ballpark

Mar 18, 1:05 AM UTC

Cleveland Guardians Logo
Cincinnati Reds Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Cleveland Guardians Logo
CLE
000120050872
Challenges remaining: 0
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
020021001672
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN
CLE

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN3CLE3
3
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN67%CLE33%
67%
33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN0%CLE0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 47.0

RHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 42.0

LHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +45

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+45
Two OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top3 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +32

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.48%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot4 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot4 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.01%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top6 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 3-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17
RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot8 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.55%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0SinkerCFMCFMBCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Spencer Steer vs Shawn Armstrong

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 4 • 1-2 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

93.7 MPH

Location

0.12 x, 3.17 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.082 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -1.01% expected value at challenge time.