Game 831890

Cincinnati Reds at Seattle Mariners

Peoria Stadium

Mar 15, 8:10 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CIN	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1
SEA	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	—	6	8	2	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SEA

CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SEA1CIN2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SEA0%CIN50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SEA0%CIN0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 49.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV +1.16%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top4 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +26

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -0.12%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.50% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie GameFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Randy Arozarena vs Pierce Johnson

Count Transition

Walk

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 5 • Tie 2-2 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.7 MPH

Location

-0.72 x, 3.35 z

Count Before

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at Walk.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

45% overturn probability and +0.50% expected value at challenge time.