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Game 831893

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Fields of Phoenix

Feb 28, 3:10 PM EST

Cincinnati Reds Logo
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN

R

9

H

10

E

0

123456789100403100
Challenges remaining: 2
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
MIL

R

7

H

17

E

0

123456789400011010
Challenges remaining: 0
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
1004031009100
Challenges remaining: 2
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
MIL
4000110107170
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIL
CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIL3CIN2
3
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIL33%CIN100%
33%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIL0%CIN0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 55.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 51.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Milwaukee Brewers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 63%EV +0.87%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top1 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Two Outs
OVR 63%EV +1.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Milwaukee Brewers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 3%EV -1.18%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 5-5

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 39%EV -0.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Top6 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Overturned +26

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 7-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26
RISPTwo Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
K1-1CurveballCFMCFMBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Elly De La Cruz vs Coleman Crow

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • 1-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

75.2 MPH

Location

-0.76 x, 2.03 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.84% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.87% expected value at challenge time.