Top1 • Milwaukee Brewers
Called Strike
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.87% EV
Game 831893
American Family Fields of Phoenix
Feb 28, 3:10 PM EST
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 55.0
RHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 46.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 51.0
RHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 42.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Curveball
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.87% EV
Top1 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.41% EV
Bot1 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.18% EV
Top6 • Cincinnati Reds
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
2-2 → 3-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • Tie 5-5
Count Edge
+53.7 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.03% EV
Top6 • Cincinnati Reds
Medium Pressure • ELI 58
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 7-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.01% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Elly De La Cruz vs Coleman Crow
Count Transition
1-1 → 0-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 1 • 1-0 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
46
Pitch
Curveball
Velocity
75.2 MPH
Location
-0.76 x, 2.03 z
Umpire Count
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.84% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
63% overturn probability and +0.87% expected value at challenge time.