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Game 831898

Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick

Mar 10, 8:10 PM UTC

Cincinnati Reds Logo
Colorado Rockies Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
0303100018133
Challenges remaining: 2
Colorado Rockies Logo
COL
000000100150
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 10, 10:32 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

COL
CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

COL3CIN3
3
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

COL33%CIN100%
33%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

COL0%CIN0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 33.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +5.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +5.06%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot4 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-0

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV +2.33%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +24

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-0

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -1.21%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot5 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +34

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 7-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index+34
RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top6 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +34

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index+34
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot7 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 7-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.91% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
RISPTwo Outs
OVR 53%EV +3.91%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Cincinnati Reds cruised to an 8-1 victory over the Colorado Rockies at Salt River Fields, with the postgame ABS review highlighting the effective use of challenges by Cincinnati to maintain momentum. Across six total challenges, four were overturned, underscoring a productive day for replay support, particularly for Cincinnati, who saw all three of their challenges successfully reversed. Colorado’s single overturn out of three attempts was less impactful in the grand scheme, reflecting Cincinnati's stronger command within the game's critical moments.

This game’s narrative was shaped by a series of mid-to-late inning ABS interventions that changed the course of pivotal plate appearances. Notably, during Cincinnati’s bottom of the 5th inning, two challenges led to calls being overturned that altered the count from 0-1 to 1-0 for JJ Bleday and from 2-2 to 1-3 for Jose Trevino, swing counts that potentially extended at-bats and contributed to the Reds’ offensive surge. Similarly, Hunter Goodman’s strike call was overturned in the 6th inning for Colorado, turning a 2-2 count into 1-3, yet failure to capitalize on such bursts only amplified the Rockies' struggles.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-1Four-Seam FastballKCFMBCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Brenton Doyle vs Pierce Johnson

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 4 • 6-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

33

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.3 MPH

Location

0.69 x, 2.29 z

Count Before

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.037 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +2.33% expected value at challenge time.

Plate umpire accuracy played a significant role, with four of six calls overturned, indicating a tighter margin of error in crucial strike-ball decisions and reinforcing the value of ABS interventions in maintaining fairness and accuracy. Most challenges came amid non-pressured, mid-game innings rather than late-and-close moments, suggesting teams were proactive rather than reactive with their reviews, aiming to build or preserve momentum early in these scoring innings.

While all six challenges included pitch-location data to some extent, the presence of inferred coordinates on a third of calls advises careful interpretation of strike zone tendencies here. Nonetheless, the overall effect was clear: Cincinnati’s adept use of video review helped sustain an early and steady advantage that Colorado could not overcome.

Debrief quality