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Game 831902

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

Sloan Park

Mar 21, 1:05 AM UTC

Cincinnati Reds Logo
Chicago Cubs Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
0230300008140
Challenges remaining: 1
Chicago Cubs Logo
CHC
0000101316112
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC
CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CHC1CIN5
1
5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CHC0%CIN80%
0%
80%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CHC0%CIN0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 35.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 45.0

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top6 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Confirmed -11

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 8-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index-11
RISPLess Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top7 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV -2.52%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot7 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +27

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 8-1

Count Edge

-32.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +9.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +9.40%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +5.8 ptsBB -37.9 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top8 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +32

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 8-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.73% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32
RISPLess Than 2 Outs

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot8 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 8-2

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.70% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.70%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot8 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +38

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 8-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index+38
RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM1-1CutterKBBCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

P.J. Higgins vs Phil Maton

Count Transition

1-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 7 • 8-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

47

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

91.0 MPH

Location

0.93 x, 2.33 z

Count Before

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -2.52% expected value at challenge time.