Top6 • Cincinnati Reds
Called Strike
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 8-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.69% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Game 831902
Sloan Park
Mar 21, 1:05 AM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
LHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 35.3
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 45.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 47.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
3 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top6 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 8-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.69% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top7 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 47
Count Shift
1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 8-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.52% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot7 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
3-0 → 2-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 8-1
Count Edge
-32.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +9.40% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Cincinnati Reds
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 8-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.73% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 8-2
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.70% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 8-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.85% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
P.J. Higgins vs Phil Maton
Count Transition
1-1
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 7 • 8-1 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
47
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
91.0 MPH
Location
0.93 x, 2.33 z
Count Before
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 1-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -2.52% expected value at challenge time.