Game 831907

Chicago White Sox at San Diego Padres

Peoria Stadium

Mar 19, 9:10 PM EDT

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

CWS

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CWS	3	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6	11	1	Challenges remaining: 0
SD	3	0	0	3	0	0	0	7	—	13	14	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CWS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD3CWS5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD33%CWS60%

33%

60%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD0%CWS40%

40%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 39.3

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 61.5

RHP vs LHB

2 reviews

ELI 53.5

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • San Diego Padres

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.98% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV +0.98%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 3-1

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Bot1 • San Diego Padres

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 3-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.96% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.96%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • San Diego Padres

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.67% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV +1.67%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 6-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.90% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -1.90%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 6-6

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -1.28%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 6-6

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 67%EV -0.39%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Chicago White Sox

Everson Pereira challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Everson Pereira called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 6-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Miguel Vargas vs Michael King

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

93.1 MPH

Location

0.85 x, 1.97 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-0.

The review did not create a new state; 1-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

44% overturn probability and +0.98% expected value at challenge time.