Game 831913
Surprise Stadium
Mar 15, 8:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 46.0
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 52.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • Chicago White Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.71% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot1 • Chicago White Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Hold • +0.10% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot3 • Chicago White Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 2-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.32% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top6 • Chicago White Sox
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 2-3
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.71% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Korey Lee vs Matt Strahm
Count Transition
Strikeout
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 6 • 2-3 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
52
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
91.2 MPH
Location
0.63 x, 3.18 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at Strikeout.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.71% expected value at challenge time.