Game 831921
Peoria Stadium
Mar 7, 1:10 AM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:28 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 40.0
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 47.5
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 44.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot3 • Chicago Cubs
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 0-2
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.22% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot3 • Chicago Cubs
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
3-1 → 2-2
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 0-2
Count Edge
-27.7 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +11.26% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • Chicago Cubs
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-3
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.22% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 0-3
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -1.11% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top9 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • 0-3
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +1.15% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top9 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 59
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 0-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.32% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831921: Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres. Total challenges: 6. Overturned: 4. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Nick Castellanos vs Ben Brown
Count Transition
1-0 → 0-1
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
1st and 2nd
Bot 3 • 0-2 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
36
Pitch
Sinker
Velocity
97.0 MPH
Location
0.06 x, 1.81 z
Count Before
1-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.197 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.22% expected value at challenge time.