Game 831926
Tempe Diablo Stadium
Feb 26, 8:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:26 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 49.5
LHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 55.0
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 60.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Los Angeles Angels
Low Pressure • ELI 34
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 3-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.26% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Top5 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 4-1
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +2.62% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top7 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-5
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.80% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top8 • Chicago Cubs
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-5
Count Edge
-0.2 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -3.81% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot8 • Chicago Cubs
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-5
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.96% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831926: Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Angels. Total challenges: 5. Overturned: 5. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Matthew Lugo vs Tyler Ras
Count Transition
1-1 → 0-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 8 • 4-5 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
65
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
91.7 MPH
Location
0.54 x, 1.62 z
Count Before
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.034 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
53% overturn probability and -0.96% expected value at challenge time.