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Game 831928

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick

Mar 14, 8:10 PM UTC

Chicago Cubs Logo
Colorado Rockies Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Chicago Cubs Logo
CHC
000021000381
Challenges remaining: 1
Colorado Rockies Logo
COL
100001002492
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:52 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

COL
CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

COL1CHC4
1
4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

COL0%CHC75%
0%
75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

COL0%CHC0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot3 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +46

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+46
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot3 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-1.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +2.35%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot3 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Two Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot5 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +35

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

-32.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +6.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index+35
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +6.17%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +5.8 ptsBB -37.9 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Colorado Rockies edged out the Chicago Cubs 4-3 in a game where the Advanced Baseball System (ABS) review process played a noticeable role in shaping critical at-bats, particularly for Chicago. Across five total challenges—with three ultimately overturned—the Cubs saw their persistent appeals on called strikes most effectively alter count situations, which factored into the rhythm of the game’s clearest offensive moments.

Chicago’s challenges were especially impactful in the bottom of the third and fifth innings, two of the most active frames in terms of scoring and decisions. Moisés Ballesteros benefited from two overturned called strikes, shifting counts from 2-2 to 1-3 in the third and from 3-0 to 2-1 in the fifth. Meanwhile, Ben Brown’s called strike was also reversed in the third inning, changing his count from 1-1 to 0-2. These changes signal a momentary disruption in pitch sequencing, offering late at-bats a chance to recalibrate. However, despite these count swings in Chicago's favor, those opportunities did not materialize into runs that would alter the outcome.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B3-0Four-Seam FastballCFMBBCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Troy Johnston vs Ryan Rolison

Count Transition

3-0 → 2-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 5 • 2-1 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

48

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.7 MPH

Location

-0.71 x, 1.74 z

Count Before

3-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-0 to 2-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.182 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +6.17% expected value at challenge time.

The Rockies were limited to a single unsuccessful challenge, reflecting less reliance on review in a game decided by narrow margins. The plate umpire's strike zone was challenged five times, with three calls overturned, suggesting some inconsistency in the strike zone that favored the Cubs’ argument on at least three occasions. However, the absence of late-and-close challenges further indicates that the game’s pivotal rulings happened earlier in the innings and did not involve consequential base-running or boundary plays.

While pitch location data was not fully precise on several challenges, given the inferred coordinates in three cases, the adjusted called-strike counts stand as a clear testament to ABS’s role in moderating umpire judgment. Ultimately, though these reviews illuminated key moments where the Cubs sought to extend their at-bats, the Rockies managed to preserve leads and close out the win in this tightly contested Spring Training matchup.

Debrief quality