Game 831929
American Family Fields of Phoenix
Mar 4, 8:10 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 5, 2:07 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
75%
4 reviews
ELI 43.8
RHP vs RHB
33%
3 reviews
ELI 48.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Changeup
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
3 reviews • 33% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.2 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.39% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Top2 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-0
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.73% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot2 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 1-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.21% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot2 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 1-0
Count Edge
-1.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.08% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.40% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot4 • Chicago Cubs
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.09% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot7 • Milwaukee Brewers
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.69% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831929: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers. Total challenges: 7. Overturned: 4. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Jesús Made vs Edward Cabrera
Count Transition
2-1 → 1-2
Result
Call Overturned
Count Changed
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 2 • 1-0 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
51
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
94.5 MPH
Location
-0.59 x, 1.65 z
Count Before
2-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.049 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.40% expected value at challenge time.