Game 831930

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

Goodyear Ballpark

Mar 2, 8:05 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CHC	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	9	12	1	Challenges remaining: 0
CIN	2	4	6	0	3	1	1	0	—	17	14	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN

CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN2CHC2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN100%CHC0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN0%CHC0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 33.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 53.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Changeup

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot3 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 6-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 45%EV +0.21%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot3 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +24

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 6-9

Count Edge

+27.7 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -5.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -5.47%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +4.0 ptsBB +27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +22

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-12

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +1.10%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

ABS Report

Game 831930: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds. Total challenges: 4. Overturned: 2. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.

Debrief quality

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

TJ Friedl vs Ryan Rolison

Count Transition

2-2 → 3-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 3 • 6-9 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

85.9 MPH

Location

-0.88 x, 1.63 z

Count Before

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to 3-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.355 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -5.47% expected value at challenge time.