Game 831932

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks

Salt River Fields at Talking Stick

Mar 18, 8:10 PM UTC

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CHC	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	3	0	8	9	3	Challenges remaining: 2
AZ	1	0	6	7	0	0	2	0	—	16	17	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

AZ0CHC2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceAZN/ACHC100%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceAZN/ACHC0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 44.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +24

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-14

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -1.21%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top7 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +39

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-14

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+39

Two Outs

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Kevin Alcántara vs Juan Morillo

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 5-14 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

82.2 MPH

Location

-0.25 x, 1.74 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.046 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -1.21% expected value at challenge time.