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Game 831933

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Camelback Ranch

Mar 13, 8:05 PM UTC

Chicago Cubs Logo
Chicago White Sox Logo
FinalSpring
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Chicago Cubs Logo
CHC
000002000251
Challenges remaining: 0
Chicago White Sox Logo
CWS
01011100—492
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 22, 9:49 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CWS
CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CWS2CHC3
2
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CWS50%CHC33%
50%
33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CWS50%CHC33%
50%
33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 50.5

LHP vs RHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 54.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36
Less Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +0.80%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +55

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+55
Two OutsTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top3 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.48%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV -1.57%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Chicago White Sox edged out the Chicago Cubs 4-2 in a game marked by careful use of replay challenges that subtly influenced the flow early and maintained defensive sharpness late. The White Sox and Cubs combined for five total challenges, with the White Sox successfully overturning one of two attempts, and the Cubs reversing one of three, reflecting a balanced but cautious approach to leveraging ABS review opportunities. Both teams found value in correcting calls on borderline strike decisions in the opening inning, setting a tone for close scrutiny of the strike zone in the afternoon contest.

Two pivotal early overturns came in the bottom of the first inning, both adjusting critical strike counts for the respective hitters Miguel Amaya of the Cubs and Korey Lee of the White Sox. These challenges, both turning called strikes into balls, altered the batter’s counts from 2-2 to 1-3 and from 2-1 to 1-2, respectively. By shifting these counts before the plate appearances concluded, the reviews influenced the at-bat dynamics and, by extension, the game's rhythm during a period with heightened offensive activity. Notably, these early adjustments demonstrated the teams' willingness to use ABS to refine strike calls that would have consequential at-bat effects without disrupting game tempo unduly.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-1Four-Seam FastballBBCFMCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Michael Busch vs Davis Martin

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • 0-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

51

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.9 MPH

Location

0.29 x, 1.69 z

Count Before

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.48% expected value at challenge time.

Later in the eighth inning, a ball call against White Sox batter Drew Romo was confirmed after review, reinforcing an umpire’s accurate judgment in a late and close game situation. Despite the small sample of challenges, the strike zone scrutiny was evident, with the plate umpire’s calls overturned in 40 percent of challenges, emphasizing the nuanced impact that automated ball-strike technology continues to have on game integrity. Given the limited data and some inferred pitch locations, broad conclusions about umpiring tendencies are premature, but the evidence affirms that the ABS system played a discreet yet meaningful role in shaping critical moments of the scoring innings at Camelback Ranch.

Debrief quality