Game 831942

Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox

Camelback Ranch

Mar 17, 4:05 PM EDT

FinalSpring

Status: Complete

ATH

123456789000020020

CWS

12345678900501000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATH	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	4	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
CWS	0	0	5	0	1	0	0	0	—	6	9	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CWS

ATH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CWS4ATH2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CWS50%ATH50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CWS0%ATH0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 39.0

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 45.5

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 28.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 25% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.33%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

Top4 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Overturned +13

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-5

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +2.39%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.31%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-6

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.35%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Miguel Vargas vs Luis Morales

Count Transition

2-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 3 • 0-1 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

97.0 MPH

Location

0.27 x, 1.40 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-1.

The review did not create a new state; 2-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.33% expected value at challenge time.