Game 831946
Surprise Stadium
Feb 27, 8:05 PM UTC
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Debrief generated Mar 8, 2:27 AM
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
LHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 41.0
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 40.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 65.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
2 reviews • 0% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 2-0
Count Edge
-0.9 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -2.97% EV
The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.
Bot2 • Oakland Athletics
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
3-0
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 2-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -6.15% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot4 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • Tie 5-5
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.43% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot8 • Oakland Athletics
High Pressure • ELI 65
Count Shift
1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 6-7
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.50% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.
Game 831946: Oakland Athletics at Kansas City Royals. Total challenges: 4. Overturned: 2. OPENAI_API_KEY not set, so this is a fallback narrative.
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Maikel Garcia vs Jamie Arnold
Count Transition
3-2 → Strikeout
Result
Call Overturned
Plate Appearance Changed
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Bot 4 • Tie 5-5 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
46
Pitch
Sweeper
Velocity
86.3 MPH
Location
0.38 x, 1.80 z
Count Before
3-2
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 3-2 to Strikeout.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.044 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.43% expected value at challenge time.